Dustin Baker’s 2021 NFL Predictions

Jan 16, 2021; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Los Angeles Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald (99) and Michael Brockers (90) against Green Bay Packers during the NFC Divisional Round at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Assessing wins and losses for the entirety of an NFL season and playoffs is tricky this far in advance, so don’t go heading to a casino or sportsbook with this information.

Nevertheless, these are the formal predictions:

AFC East

Buffalo Bills (13-4)
*New England Patriots (10-7)
Miami Dolphins (5-12)
New York Jets (4-13)

AFC South

Tennessee Titans (11-6)
Indianapolis Colts (9-8)
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-14)
Houston Texans (2-15)

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens (11-6)
*Cleveland Browns (11-6)
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)
Cincinnati Bengals (5-12)

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs (14-3)
*Denver Broncos (10-7)
Los Angeles Chargers (9-8)
Las Vegas Raiders (6-11)

AFC Playoff Seeding

  1. Chiefs
  2. Bills
  3. Ravens
  4. Titans
  5. Browns
  6. Broncos
  7. Patriots


(7) Patriots over (2) Bills
(3) Ravens over (6) Broncos
(5) Browns over (4) Titans


(1) Chiefs over (7) Patriots
(3) Ravens over (5) Browns

AFC Championship

(1) Chiefs over (3) Ravens

NFC East

*Dallas Cowboys (11-6)
Washington Football Team (9-8)
New York Giants (9-8)
Philadelphia Eagles (5-12)

NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5)
New Orleans Saints (9-8)
Carolina Panthers (6-11)
Atlanta Falcons (4-13)

NFC North

Green Bay Packers (12-5)
*Minnesota Vikings (11-6)
Chicago Bears (9-8)
Detroit Lions (3-14)

NFC West

Los Angeles Rams (11-6)
*Arizona Cardinals (10-7)
*San Francisco 49ers (10-7)
Seattle Seahawks (9-8)

NFC Playoff Seeding

  1. Buccaneers
  2. Packers
  3. Rams
  4. Cowboys
  5. Vikings
  6. Cardinals
  7. 49ers


(7) 49ers over (2) Packers
(3) Rams over (6) Cardinals
(5) Vikings over (4) Cowboys


(7) 49ers over (1) Buccaneers
(3) Rams over (5) Vikings

NFC Championship

(3) Rams over (7) 49ers

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Rams, 34-27

MVP: Patrick Mahomes

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Najee Harris

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Kwity Paye

Coach of the Year: Bill Belichick

Comeback Player of the Year: Dak Prescott

Offensive Player of the Year: Christian McCaffrey

Defensive Player of the Year: T.J Watt

Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday along with Raun Sawh and Sally from Minneapolis. His Viking fandom dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ and The Doors (the band).